Let me ask you a question. How much will your long-term care cost?
The answer, of course, is you have no idea. You may be one of the lucky ones who is completely independent and dies of “natural” causes in their sleep. Or you may be diagnosed with early onset Alzheimer’s and need expensive care for a number of years. It’s not unusual for people to spend up to $20,000 per month on long-term care (I’ve got family experience).
It’s often said that LTC Insurance is for the middle class – the poor can rely on Medicaid to pay for care and the wealthy can pay for care themselves. But is self-insuring, or to be more precise self-funding, always the best choice?
When polled in 2022, Americans said a net worth $2.2 million would make them feel wealthy. They may feel if they reached that milestone at age 65 they could retire comfortably and draw down their wealth at the “classic” 4% level. If they encountered long-term care expenses, they would then accelerate the amount they spend – and choose which assets to liquidate as needed.
This all makes sense and chances are that person starting with $2.2 million wouldn’t become completely broke from LTC needs – though it is a possibility. So, the rational decision, and one that many financial advisors recommend, is to not buy LTC Insurance and instead self-fund the cost. One wealth manager thinks that saving $225,000 for LTC needs should be adequate.
For many this is an easy decision. People can’t envision needing long-term care and they are confident that their healthy lifestyle will prevent them from getting Alzheimer’s or other chronic conditions. Plus, they may have heard LTC Insurance is expensive for what you get.
Self-funding for care is an easy decision. However, is it the right one?
Before you decide to self-fund, it is valuable to bring up several points of discussion of things to be prepared for. Here are some:
• Dealing with Loss Aversion. In the same way that it is less painful to whip out a credit card for a $100 dinner as opposed to laying out $120 cash, spending money from a brokerage account every month to pay for care will be more difficult than having a third party (i.e. LTC Insurer) pay those costs. Can you visualize making these monthly care payments?
• Impact on Care Choices. Similarly, imagine shopping at two stores. One of the stores has full retail price on every item and only accepts cash. The other charges an annual membership fee, but discounts every item at 80%. This is similar to the experience of someone having LTC Insurance. The policy gives you the comfort of purchasing additional services because much of the care is paid for by the policy.
• Underestimating the cost of care. Care costs can be tricky to estimate and range widely by geographic location. In the last couple of years the cost of home care has increased dramatically. According to Genworth in their care trends study, the cost of home care increased 12.5% in 2021. Core Inflation, immigration and demographics mean this trend is likely to continue into the future.